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Nuclear Fallout from US Mid-East Policy: The Rise of Iran
NEW
Robert Matthews
January 2007

The US started a war with Iraq but Iran may have already won it. Although the news this week in Washington is centered on the troop "surge" in Iraq, Iran remains perhaps an equally complex and difficult policy issue for the Bush administration. In 2001, notwithstanding Iran’s mutual interest with the US in removing the Taliban regime in Afghanistan after the Al Qaeda-sponsored terrorist attacks of September 11, and its initial support for the US war there, Washington missed an opportunity to build the relationship. The Bush administration believed Iran was weak, threatened with democratic reform movements and despite, its initial intelligence and logistical support in countering Al Qaeda, tied to Middle Eastern terrorism. It did not help that administration rhetoric has often ranged from clumsy to belligerent. In 2002, Bush administration hardliners placed Iran in its tripartite "axis of evil" (with Iraq and North Korea) and viewed it as the next target after Iraq. The invasion of Iraq, which Iran opposed, and the toppling of the government, removed its foremost regional enemy while tying down its Western nemesis in an unwinnable war. At the same time it had the effect sharpening the antagonism with the US. MORE...

Map: Complements of Alernet


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Little Sign of US Policy Changes for Iraq's Mayhem
Robert Matthews

As we approach the end of 2006, there is no end in sight for the catastrophically unnecessary war the US has unleashed in Iraq. For the past three years this nation of 28 million people has experienced a headlong descent into a state of chaos. Robert Matthhews examines the chaotic situation in the country --which could intensifies after Saddam's execution-- and analyses the posibilities for political change under the new Democrat-dominated Congress.


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Israeli-Palestinian Peace and Demilitarization Initiatives
Global Action to Prevent War
This document contains three initiatives to promote peace and demilitarization in the conflict in the Middle East promoted by the international network Global Action to Prevent War, of which the Peace Research Center is a member.

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Israeli Elections: The Democratic Legitimation of Annexation
Isaías Barreñada
InfoCIP Newsletter #12, CIP-FUHEM, April 25, 2006.
The author reflects on the implications of the electoral results in Israel for the country and their Palestinian neighbors, and the lack of possibilities for negotiation in the present context.

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Israel and Palestine After the Elections
Phyllis Bennis
InfoCIP Newsletter #12, CIP-FUHEM, April 25, 2006

Acting Prime Minister Ehud Olmert's assertion that Israel will not negotiate with a Hamas-led Palestinian Authority is a red herring. The truth is that for the last two years, Israel has not been negotiating with the existing Palestinian Authority anyway. This is the starting point of this interesting analysis on the possibilities of peace in the region after the victory of Hamas and Kadima.


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Hamas, Israel and the destruction of the future
Neve Gordon and Dani Filc
Condensed version of the article published in the journal "Papeles de Cuestiones Internacionales", nº 93, CIP-FUHEM, Spring 2006.
One of the effects of the second Palestinian Intifada, which erupted in September 2000, has been the dramatic rise in popular support for Hamas. A poll reveals that an overwhelming majority of Palestinians (90 percent) support Hamas’s participation in the administration of the Gaza Strip after the planned Israeli withdrawal. Considering that Hamas’s ultimate objective is the establishment of an Islamic state in Mandatory Palestine and reforming society in the spirit of "true" Islam, the movement’s increasing popularity threatens the forces which are sympathetic to the secular democratic state as well as the two state solution.


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What Lies Beneath Hamas' Rhetoric: What the West Needs to Hear
Gabrielle Rifkind
Published with the courtesy of Oxford Research Group
Western governments seem frightened and perplexed in equal amounts by the Hamas victory in the Palestinian legislature. They did not see this landslide victory coming and were ill-prepared for it. Analysts of the conflict highlight the lack of any meaningful dialogue between the influential Islamic movements in the region and Western governments to account for the level of misunderstanding and misreading on both sides.


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A New Issue of the Journal PAPELES DE CUESTIONES INTERNACIONALES, Presented
"Relaciones Euro-Mediterráneas: ¿una puerta a la estabilidad?
Directora: Manuela Mesa. Redactora jefa: Nieves Zúñiga
Papeles de Cuestiones Internacionales nº 92, CIP-FUHEM, Winter 2005/06

The journal Papeles de Cuestiones Internacionales presents a new issue, which includes a special dossier on the Euromediterranean partnership, coordinated by Professor Bichara Khader. It includes analyses by:

· Bichara Khader, on "Euro-Mediterranean Association or Euro-Arab Association"

· Neila Akrimi, on the "Policy of Neighborhood: The Reaches and Limits of a Strategy"

· Isaías Barreñada and Iván Martín, on "Civil Society and the Euro-Mediterranean Association: From Rhetoric to Practice".

· Gemma Aubarrell and Marta Rovira, on "The Barcelona Process ten years later".

For more information and acquisitions, send an e-mail to: publicaciones@fuhem.es


Conclusions on the Working Meeting regarding the Euro-Mediterranean Summit
Sonia Felipe
Peace Research Center (CIP-FUHEM) Meeting, November 25, 2005.

The Euromediterranean dialogue advances with difficulties and limited results. The Barcelona Summit +10 in November 2005 focused in the priority issued for the EU: terrorism and immigration. The Peace Research Center (CIP-FUHEM) held, prior to the Euromediterranean Summit, a working meeting of which we offer the main conclusion. Bichara Khader, director of the Center of Studies on the Contemporary Arab World in the University of Lovaine (Belgium), took part in the working meeting, where he discussed the main issues of the Euromediterranean Partnership.


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Towards a New Euro-Mediterranean Cultural Dialog
Bichara Khader
Papeles de Cuestiones Internacionales, no. 91, CIP-FUHEM, Autumn 2005
The Euro-Mediterranean cultural relationship is going through a critical moment. It is marked by deformations of reality, distorted visions, and negative stereotypes and perceptions that complicate the ties of neighborhood. The rejection and lack of knowledge of the other are apparent on both shores of the Mediterranean. While one shore lives under the feeling of suffering permanent injustice and cultural attacks, the other perceives Islam as a religion of violence, and considers the phenomenon of immigration, especially Arab and Muslim immigration, as a threat. In a context of close neighborhood and in a world that is becoming more and more connected, this presents significant challenges for the future, which must be dealt with as soon as possible. A new, real, cultural platform to ensure mutual knowledge , and to foster exchange, is now more necessary than ever.

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Euro-Mediterranean Partnership or European-Arab Partnership
Bichara Khader

In 1995, the Euro-Mediterranean Partnership was signed in Barcelona. Today, ten years later, it still cannot sustain flight. This is the main argument presented by Bichara Khader in this analysis. Professor Khader defends that the European Union should strengthen their ties with the Arab countries and promote their integration, which in turn would bring stability to the South shore.


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Mare Nostrum after Ten Years
Fred Halliday
InfoCIP bulletin no.8 (Barcelona Process +10)
The Barcelona Process, signed in 1995, is intended to support both Europe and the Mediterranean countries. Ten years on, there is considerable frustration for the results and uncertainty about the future. The goals of the 1995 conference may not have been achieved, but the region has been transformed in important respects. Fred Halliday reviews these changes.

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The Democratic Deficit: A Pending Objective for the Barcelona Process
Laurence Thieux
InfoCIP bulletin no. 8, on the Barcelona Process +10

The Barcelona Process was initiated with the objective to create a peace zone of prosperity and stability shared by the south shore of the Mediterranean. Ten years later the international context had changed radically. The threat linked to the international terrorist networks had placed the security agenda above all other concerns. On the eve of the 10th celebration of the Barcelona Process, the evaluations of the results achieved affirmed the numerous weaknesses of the policies and strategies conceived by Europe in this framework as well as the meager effects produced in the societies on the south shore of the Mediterranean.


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The Barcelona Agenda and the Middle East Conflict
Ignacio Álvarez-Ossorio
InfoCIP bulletin no.8, on the Barcelona Process +10
The Euro-Mediterranean agenda of the Barcelona Process in 1995 started off on the basis that the Oslo Agreements had put an end to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. However, today, the peace process has been derailed and the conflict faces a progressive deterioration. The author addresses the significance of this conflict in the framework of the Barcelona Process.

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Cooperative and Sustainable Management of Jordan’s Basin Water
Majeed Barakat Atwi and Pedro Arrojo Agudo
InfoCIP bulletin no. 8 (on the Barcelona Process +10)
In the year 2000, the World Commission on Dams (WCD) presented a report in which it affirmed the necessity of new strategies in the management of Jordan’s basin water. The new strategies are aimed at improving and protecting the water system in a sustainable way. In Middle East, water management is largely dependent on political crisis. Scarcity of water is a geopolitical factor that can significantly influence a conflict: an asymmetric distribution of political power, together with strategic plays (religious conflicts included), have, in the past, lead to nationalistic and unilateral management of Jordan’s basin waters. The armed conflict between Israel and Palestine cannot be solved solely by cooperation in the field of water management, but a real and concrete cooperation in this area would certainly open the way to the solution of other questions, causing the peaceful solution of the conflict to be increasingly feasible.

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Bibliography. The Euromediterranean Relationship
Susana Fernández Herrero
Papeles de Cuestiones Internacionales, no. 92, CIP-FUHEM, Winter 2005/06
Bibliographic and electronic resources on the Euromediterranean Partnership, organized in the sections: books, articles, official documents and internet resources, prepared by the head of the Library-Resources Department at CIP-FUHEM.

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The United States and its Security Policy in the Middle East
Robert Matthews
CIP Yearbook 2005. "Cartographies of Power. Hegemony and Responses", CIP- FUHEM, May 2005
US foreign policy during George W. Bush's second administration continues to be focused on the "global war against terrorism", now justified with the expansion of democracy and freedom in the Middle East and throughout the entire planet. This policy of military might is having disastrous results because it does not understand the real nature of global terrorism. It has not managed to eliminate it, but rather it fuels it and reinforces authoritarian governments that use the same rhetoric to violate human rights and repress internal opposition. In practice, it means that it is trying to achieve order at the expense of the violation of laws and this is causing a backward movement in terms of the rights and freedoms of the entire world. Moreover, the policy towards the Middle East is ineffective and counterproductive, as the intensification of conditions in Iraq and the situation in Israel and Palestine demonstrate.

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False Optimism for Palestine and Israel
Isaías Barreñada
"Cartographies of Power. Hegemony and Responses. CIP Yearbook 2005", CIP-FUHEM, May 2005
In Israel and Palestine there have been changes since the death of Yassir Arafat; there is a new Palestinian leadership and the Islamic groups have reached a truce. In Israel the withdrawal from Gaza has caused problems for Ariel Sharon and is presented as a major step forward towards peace. However, this hides other issues like Gaza's scarce strategic value and the high political and economic cost that its occupation supposed for Israel. All of this reflects that from inside Israel the inevitable existence of some kind of Palestinian entity in the future has already been accepted and the objective is to thereby determine its scope and configuration. Offers to the Palestinians continue to be biased and conditioned to maintaining the situation as it is, and aimed at achieving a weak and dependent entity. If advances are not made soon, a new wave of violence may occur.

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Palestine: Democratic National Unity or Government under Surveillance
Isaías Barreñada
Papeles de Cuestiones Internacionales, nr. 88, CIP-FUHEM, Winter 2004/05
It is difficult to describe what has occurred during the last four years in the Gaza Strip and the West Bank. Violence seems to have firmly rooted itself and a political settlement for this conflict is still as elusive as ever. Arafat was a unique actor in the effort to achieve agreement between the two sides because of his legitimacy and stature among Palestinians. However, his death in November 2004 produced a new and uncertain scenario.

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Israel as the Problem; Democracy as the Solution
Isaías Barreñada
"Pensar la paz veinte años después." CIP 20th Anniversary book, October 2004
In this text, Isaias Barreñada asserts that Israel is one of the main reasons behind the unrest and violence in the Middle East, due to its own current nature and the impasse in which it finds itself. However, the solution to the conflict is in its hands and peace will only be achieved with a dual – internal and external – normalization process.

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